Forsa poll of 14 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 May 2024
- Respondents
- 2,006
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others11.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 May 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,006 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 May 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 May 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.6 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.6average 17.6
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 30.4
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- BSW -1.1average 6.1
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU234
- SPD117
- AfD110
- Grüne95
- FDP37
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.