Forsa poll of 7 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Apr 2024 to 6 May 2024
- Respondents
- 2,000
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others13.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Apr 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,000 people were surveyed from 30 Apr 2024 to 6 May 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Apr 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.8 points lower and BSW 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.8average 17.8
- BSW -2.2average 6.2
- Grüne -2.1average 14.1
- FDP +1.1average 4.9
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 30.4
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- SPD126
- AfD118
- Grüne95
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + SPD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.