Forsa poll of 30 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%
- Others13.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Apr 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Apr 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Apr 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points lower and BSW 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.2average 14.2
- BSW -2.2average 6.2
- AfD -1.4average 17.4
- SPD +1.1average 15.9
- Linke -0.5average 3.5
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 29.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU236
- SPD134
- AfD126
- Grüne95
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + SPD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.