Forsa poll of 23 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- Others15.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Apr 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Apr 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Apr 2024, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.7 points lower and AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.7average 13.7
- AfD -1.6average 17.6
- BSW -1.3average 6.3
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 30.3
- FDP +0.4average 4.6
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU230
- SPD119
- AfD118
- Grüne89
- FDP37
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.