Forsa poll of 16 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- Others14.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Apr 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Apr 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Apr 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 13.9
- BSW -1.3average 6.3
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 30.1
- AfD -0.6average 17.6
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD124
- SPD117
- Grüne88
- FDP37
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.