Forsa poll of 9 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 2,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- BSW5.0%±0
- Others14.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Apr 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,506 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Apr 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Apr 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.3average 6.3
- Grüne -1.0average 14.0
- AfD -0.6average 17.6
- FDP +0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 30.2
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- AfD124
- SPD117
- Grüne95
- FDP37
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW352 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.