Forsa poll of 2 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 26 to 28 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,508
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others14.0%+6.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Mar 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,508 people were surveyed from 26 to 28 Mar 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Mar 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.4average 6.4
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 30.0
- AfD -0.8average 17.8
- Grüne -0.8average 13.8
- FDP -0.6average 4.6
- SPD -0.1average 16.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU238
- AfD131
- SPD123
- Grüne100
- BSW38
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne354 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.