Forsa poll of 15 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD24.0%±0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Jul 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Jul 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Jul 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.2average 28.2
- SPD -1.9average 14.9
- Linke +1.2average 9.8
- AfD +1.1average 22.9
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- AfD176
- SPD95
- Grüne88
- Linke81
- CDU/CSU + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne359 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.