Forsa poll of 8 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD24.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jul 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Jul 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Jul 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 28.3
- AfD +1.2average 22.8
- Linke +1.2average 9.8
- Grüne +0.3average 11.7
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- AfD174
- SPD94
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.