Single poll

Forsa poll of 1 July 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
24 to 30 Jun 2025
Respondents
2,501
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • AfD24.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Jun 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 24 to 30 Jun 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Jun 2025, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +1.6average 9.4
  • SPD -1.3average 15.3
  • AfD +1.1average 22.9
  • BSW -1.1average 4.1
  • Grüne -0.7average 11.7
  • FDP -0.3average 3.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.2average 28.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 200 seatsAfD: 172 seatsSPD: 100 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU200
  • AfD172
  • SPD100
  • Grüne79
  • Linke79
  • CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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