Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 June 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
17 to 20 Jun 2025
Respondents
2,003
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%±0
  • AfD24.0%+1.0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • BSW3.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Jun 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,003 people were surveyed from 17 to 20 Jun 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Jun 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.2average 15.2
  • Linke +1.2average 9.8
  • BSW -1.2average 4.2
  • AfD +1.0average 23.0
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 27.6
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 200 seatsAfD: 172 seatsSPD: 100 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU200
  • AfD172
  • SPD100
  • Grüne79
  • Linke79
  • CDU/CSU + AfD372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke330 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.