Single poll

Forsa poll of 17 June 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
10 to 16 Jun 2025
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • AfD23.0%-1.0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • Linke10.0%-1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Jun 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Jun 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Jun 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 15.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.9average 27.1
  • FDP +0.7average 3.3
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • AfD -0.2average 23.2
  • Linke -0.2average 10.2
  • BSW ±0average 4.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 205 seatsAfD: 168 seatsSPD: 103 seatsGrüne: 81 seatsLinke: 73 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU205
  • AfD168
  • SPD103
  • Grüne81
  • Linke73
  • CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne389 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke381 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne352 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke344 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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