Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 June 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 6 Jun 2025
Respondents
2,002
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • AfD24.0%+1.0
  • SPD14.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%+1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Jun 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,002 people were surveyed from 3 to 6 Jun 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Jun 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.6average 15.6
  • BSW -1.0average 4.0
  • Linke +0.8average 10.2
  • AfD +0.7average 23.3
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • FDP +0.6average 3.4
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 27.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsAfD: 174 seatsSPD: 101 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • AfD174
  • SPD101
  • Grüne80
  • Linke80
  • CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke334 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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