Forsa poll of 22 July 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 21 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Jul 2025.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Jul 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Jul 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.2 points lower and Linke 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.2average 28.2
- Linke +1.9average 10.1
- AfD +1.7average 23.3
- SPD -1.5average 14.5
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD181
- SPD94
- Grüne87
- Linke87
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.