Single poll

Forsa poll of 29 July 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
22 to 28 Jul 2025
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
  • AfD25.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Jul 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Jul 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Jul 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and Linke 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jul 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.9average 27.9
  • Linke +1.9average 10.1
  • SPD -1.6average 14.6
  • AfD +1.5average 23.5
  • BSW -0.9average 3.9
  • Grüne +0.3average 11.7
  • FDP -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsAfD: 179 seatsSPD: 93 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 86 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • AfD179
  • SPD93
  • Grüne86
  • Linke86
  • CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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