Single poll

Forsa poll of 5 August 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
29 Jul 2025 to 4 Aug 2025
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • AfD25.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jul 2025.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 29 Jul 2025 to 4 Aug 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Jul 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.8 points lower and Linke 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.8average 27.8
  • Linke +1.8average 10.2
  • SPD -1.4average 14.4
  • AfD +1.2average 23.8
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
  • Grüne +0.3average 11.7
  • BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsAfD: 181 seatsSPD: 94 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 87 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • AfD181
  • SPD94
  • Grüne87
  • Linke87
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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