Single poll

Forsa poll of 12 August 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
5 to 11 Aug 2025
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%+1.0
  • Linke11.0%-1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Aug 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Aug 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 5 Aug 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 3.3 points lower and AfD 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -3.3average 27.3
  • AfD +2.0average 24.0
  • SPD -1.4average 14.4
  • Grüne +1.4average 11.6
  • Linke +0.9average 10.1
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 188 seatsCDU/CSU: 174 seatsSPD: 94 seatsGrüne: 94 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD188
  • CDU/CSU174
  • SPD94
  • Grüne94
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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