Forsa poll of 19 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke12.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Aug 2025.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Aug 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 12 Aug 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 1.9 points higher and AfD 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.9average 10.1
- AfD +1.7average 24.3
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 26.7
- SPD -1.4average 14.4
- BSW -0.9average 3.9
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- Grüne +0.4average 11.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU179
- SPD93
- Grüne86
- Linke86
- AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.