Forsa poll of 17 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Feb 2026.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Feb 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Feb 2026, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 15.2
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 25.2
- FDP -0.7average 3.7
- BSW -0.4average 3.4
- Linke -0.3average 10.3
- AfD -0.2average 25.2
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- AfD181
- SPD101
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.