Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 February 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Feb 2026
Respondents
2,503
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • AfD24.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne13.0%+1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Feb 2026.

In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Feb 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Feb 2026, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.3average 25.3
  • SPD -1.2average 15.2
  • Linke +0.9average 10.1
  • Grüne +0.8average 12.2
  • CDU/CSU +0.7average 25.3
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • BSW -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsAfD: 172 seatsSPD: 100 seatsGrüne: 93 seatsLinke: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • AfD172
  • SPD100
  • Grüne93
  • Linke79
  • CDU/CSU + AfD358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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