Forsa poll of 3 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jan 2026 to 2 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD24.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Jan 2026.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 27 Jan 2026 to 2 Feb 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 27 Jan 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 25.6
- SPD -0.9average 14.9
- Linke +0.9average 10.1
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- Grüne -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD174
- SPD101
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.