Forsa poll of 24 February 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 23 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 2,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD24.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Feb 2026.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Feb 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Feb 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.2average 15.2
- AfD -0.9average 24.9
- FDP -0.9average 3.9
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 25.3
- Linke +0.5average 10.5
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
- Grüne +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD174
- SPD101
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.