Forsa poll of 17 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-2.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%+1.0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW6.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others13.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Sep 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Sep 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Sep 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 2.0 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -2.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 32.8
- AfD -0.6average 17.6
- SPD +0.5average 14.5
- Grüne -0.3average 11.3
- FDP -0.2average 4.2
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU244
- AfD134
- SPD118
- Grüne87
- BSW47
- CDU/CSU + AfD378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.