Forsa poll of 24 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 23 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others14.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Sep 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 17 to 23 Sep 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Sep 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.3average 8.3
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 32.8
- AfD -0.8average 17.8
- SPD +0.3average 14.7
- Grüne -0.1average 11.1
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- AfD131
- SPD115
- Grüne84
- BSW54
- CDU/CSU + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.