Forsa poll of 10 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-2.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others12.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Sep 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Sep 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 3 Sep 2024, FDP loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has FDP 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.5average 4.5
- BSW -1.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 32.1
- SPD -0.8average 14.8
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- AfD -0.3average 17.3
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU253
- AfD131
- SPD108
- Grüne84
- BSW54
- CDU/CSU + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.