Forsa poll of 5 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Oct 2024 to 4 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU33.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne10.0%+1.0
- BSW6.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others13.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Oct 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 29 Oct 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 29 Oct 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has BSW 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.9average 7.9
- AfD -1.4average 17.4
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- Grüne -0.9average 10.9
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 32.6
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU257
- SPD124
- AfD124
- Grüne78
- BSW47
- CDU/CSU + SPD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.