Forsa poll of 29 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne9.0%-2.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others12.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Oct 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Oct 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 22 Oct 2024, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -2.2average 11.2
- BSW -1.0average 8.0
- AfD -0.6average 17.6
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 32.1
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU249
- AfD132
- SPD125
- Grüne70
- BSW54
- CDU/CSU + AfD381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.