Forsa poll of 22 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 15 to 21 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%+1.0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others12.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Oct 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 15 to 21 Oct 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 15 Oct 2024, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 32.1
- BSW -1.0average 8.0
- FDP -0.9average 3.9
- AfD -0.6average 17.6
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Grüne -0.1average 11.1
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU238
- AfD131
- SPD123
- Grüne84
- BSW54
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.