Single poll
Forsa poll of 15 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Oct 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Oct 2024, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 32.1
- Grüne -1.1average 11.1
- BSW -1.0average 8.0
- AfD -0.6average 17.6
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- AfD132
- SPD125
- Grüne78
- BSW54
- CDU/CSU + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne335 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 8 Oct 2024Forsa, 22 Oct 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.