Single poll
Forsa poll of 8 October 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 7 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 2,001
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Oct 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 1 Oct 2024, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.0 points higher and BSW 2.0 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Oct 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.0average 15.0
- BSW -2.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 32.5
- FDP -1.0average 4.0
- AfD -0.8average 17.8
- Grüne -0.2average 11.2
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU238
- SPD131
- AfD131
- Grüne84
- BSW46
- CDU/CSU + SPD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne346 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 1 Oct 2024Forsa, 15 Oct 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.