Single poll

Forsa poll of 18 November 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 Nov 2025
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%+1.0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Nov 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Nov 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 11 Nov 2025, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 25.8
  • SPD -0.6average 14.6
  • Linke +0.6average 10.4
  • AfD +0.4average 25.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 11.6
  • FDP -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 186 seatsCDU/CSU: 179 seatsSPD: 100 seatsGrüne: 86 seatsLinke: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD186
  • CDU/CSU179
  • SPD100
  • Grüne86
  • Linke79
  • AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke358 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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