Forsa poll of 27 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others11.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Aug 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 20 Aug 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 12.3
- BSW -1.0average 8.0
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 31.7
- AfD +0.2average 16.8
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD124
- SPD110
- Grüne81
- BSW51
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.