Forsa poll of 20 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others11.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Aug 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Aug 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.2average 8.2
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 31.3
- AfD ±0average 17.0
- SPD ±0average 15.0
- FDP ±0average 5.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU227
- AfD124
- SPD110
- Grüne81
- BSW51
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.