Forsa poll of 13 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others12.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Aug 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Aug 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 6 Aug 2024, no party moves by more than one point.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 31.3
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- BSW -1.1average 8.1
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- AfD ±0average 17.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD126
- SPD111
- Grüne82
- BSW52
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.