Forsa poll of 6 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jul 2024 to 5 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others9.0%-4.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jul 2024.
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 30 Jul 2024 to 5 Aug 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jul 2024, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +1.2average 1.8
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 31.0
- BSW -1.0average 8.0
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- AfD -0.1average 17.1
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- AfD126
- SPD111
- Grüne82
- BSW52
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP341 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.