Single poll
Forsa poll of 30 July 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Jul 2024
- Respondents
- 2,501
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 2,501 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Jul 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Jul 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.3average 12.3
- FDP -1.1average 5.1
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 30.9
- BSW -0.8average 7.8
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- AfD -0.3average 17.3
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU236
- AfD134
- SPD118
- Grüne87
- BSW55
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne339 of 630
More
More polls
← Forsa, 23 Jul 2024Forsa, 6 Aug 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.