Single poll

Forsa poll of 2 September 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
26 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%+1.0
  • Linke12.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Aug 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 26 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 Aug 2025, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points higher and Linke 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.8average 24.2
  • Linke +1.6average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 26.5
  • BSW -0.9average 3.9
  • Grüne -0.6average 11.6
  • SPD -0.5average 14.5
  • FDP -0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 186 seatsCDU/CSU: 179 seatsSPD: 100 seatsLinke: 86 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD186
  • CDU/CSU179
  • SPD100
  • Linke86
  • Grüne79
  • AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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