Single poll

Forsa poll of 9 September 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Sep 2025
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD14.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • Grüne11.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Sep 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Sep 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Sep 2025, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Linke 2.0 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +2.0average 10.0
  • CDU/CSU -1.6average 26.6
  • AfD +1.2average 24.8
  • BSW -1.2average 4.2
  • SPD -0.8average 14.8
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
  • Grüne -0.3average 11.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 186 seatsCDU/CSU: 179 seatsSPD: 100 seatsLinke: 86 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD186
  • CDU/CSU179
  • SPD100
  • Linke86
  • Grüne79
  • AfD + CDU/CSU365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke372 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
  • AfD + Linke + Grüne351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne344 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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