Single poll

Forsa poll of 30 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
23 to 29 Jun 2026
Respondents
2,505
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%±0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%+1.0
  • FDP4.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Jun 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Jun 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Jun 2026, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.8average 27.8
  • Grüne +1.2average 13.8
  • Linke +1.2average 10.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 22.6
  • SPD -0.6average 12.6
  • FDP -0.5average 4.5
  • BSW -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 188 seatsCDU/CSU: 159 seatsGrüne: 109 seatsSPD: 87 seatsLinke: 87 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD188
  • CDU/CSU159
  • Grüne109
  • SPD87
  • Linke87
  • AfD + CDU/CSU347 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD384 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke384 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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