Forsa poll of 7 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jun 2026 to 6 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 30 Jun 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Jun 2026, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.8average 27.8
- Grüne +1.1average 13.9
- Linke +0.9average 11.1
- SPD -0.6average 12.6
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 22.3
- BSW -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU159
- Grüne109
- SPD87
- Linke87
- AfD + CDU/CSU347 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD384 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke384 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.