Forsa poll of 14 July 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Jul 2026
- Respondents
- 2,503
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Linke12.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jul 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,503 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Jul 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Jul 2026, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 2.2 points higher and AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jul 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.2average 13.8
- AfD -1.6average 27.6
- Linke +0.8average 11.2
- SPD -0.5average 12.5
- FDP -0.5average 4.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 22.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD186
- CDU/CSU157
- Grüne115
- SPD86
- Linke86
- AfD + CDU/CSU343 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD387 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke387 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.