Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Jun 2026
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jun 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Jun 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne +1.0average 14.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.8average 22.8
  • AfD -0.5average 27.5
  • SPD -0.5average 12.5
  • FDP -0.3average 4.3
  • Linke +0.2average 10.8
  • BSW +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 195 seatsCDU/CSU: 159 seatsGrüne: 109 seatsSPD: 87 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD195
  • CDU/CSU159
  • Grüne109
  • SPD87
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU354 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD391 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke384 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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