Forsa poll of 16 June 2026 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Jun 2026
- Respondents
- 2,500
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- SPD12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jun 2026.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Jun 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 23.0
- FDP +0.9average 4.1
- Grüne +0.6average 14.4
- AfD -0.4average 27.4
- SPD -0.4average 12.4
- Linke +0.2average 10.8
- BSW +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD187
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne104
- SPD83
- Linke76
- FDP35
- AfD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD374 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD332 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.