Single poll

Forsa poll of 9 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Jun 2026
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU22.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD11.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Jun 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 22.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Jun 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 2 Jun 2026, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.4average 12.4
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 23.1
  • FDP +1.0average 4.0
  • Grüne +0.7average 14.3
  • Linke +0.3average 10.7
  • AfD -0.1average 27.1
  • BSW +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 187 seatsCDU/CSU: 152 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsSPD: 76 seatsLinke: 76 seatsFDP: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD187
  • CDU/CSU152
  • Grüne104
  • SPD76
  • Linke76
  • FDP35
  • AfD + CDU/CSU339 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD367 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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