Single poll

Forsa poll of 2 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
26 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026
Respondents
2,502
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • SPD12.0%±0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • BSW3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 May 2026.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 26 May 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 26 May 2026, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 2.4 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.4average 23.4
  • FDP +1.0average 4.0
  • Grüne +0.6average 14.4
  • SPD -0.3average 12.3
  • AfD +0.2average 26.8
  • Linke +0.2average 10.8
  • BSW -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 187 seatsCDU/CSU: 145 seatsGrüne: 104 seatsSPD: 83 seatsLinke: 76 seatsFDP: 35 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD187
  • CDU/CSU145
  • Grüne104
  • SPD83
  • Linke76
  • FDP35
  • AfD + CDU/CSU332 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD374 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke367 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD332 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + FDP326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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