Forsa poll of 30 September 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 2,502
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD27.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
- SPD13.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke11.0%±0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Sep 2025.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,502 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Sep 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 23 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.1 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.1average 15.1
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 26.0
- AfD +1.7average 25.3
- Grüne +0.9average 11.1
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD195
- CDU/CSU174
- SPD94
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU369 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.