Single poll

Forsa poll of 23 September 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
16 to 22 Sep 2025
Respondents
2,504
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD27.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%-1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Sep 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 2,504 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Sep 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 16 Sep 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 2.1 points lower and AfD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -2.1average 15.1
  • AfD +1.8average 25.2
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 26.1
  • Linke +0.6average 10.4
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
  • BSW -0.1average 4.1
  • Grüne ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 195 seatsCDU/CSU: 181 seatsSPD: 94 seatsGrüne: 80 seatsLinke: 80 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD195
  • CDU/CSU181
  • SPD94
  • Grüne80
  • Linke80
  • AfD + CDU/CSU376 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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