Single poll

Forsa poll of 7 October 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
30 Sep 2025 to 6 Oct 2025
Respondents
2,001
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Sep 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,001 people were surveyed from 30 Sep 2025 to 6 Oct 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 30 Sep 2025, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.9 points lower and SPD 1.9 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.9average 25.9
  • SPD -1.9average 14.9
  • Linke +1.5average 10.5
  • Grüne +0.8average 11.2
  • AfD +0.6average 25.4
  • FDP -0.4average 3.4
  • BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 188 seatsCDU/CSU: 174 seatsSPD: 94 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 87 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD188
  • CDU/CSU174
  • SPD94
  • Grüne87
  • Linke87
  • AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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