Single poll

Forsa poll of 14 October 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
7 to 13 Oct 2025
Respondents
2,500
Method
Telefonisch
  • AfD26.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%±0
  • SPD13.0%±0
  • Grüne12.0%±0
  • Linke12.0%±0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Oct 2025.

In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,500 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Oct 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 7 Oct 2025, no party moves by more than one point.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 1.9 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.9average 14.9
  • CDU/CSU -1.8average 25.8
  • Linke +1.7average 10.3
  • Grüne +0.7average 11.3
  • AfD +0.6average 25.4
  • FDP -0.6average 3.6
  • BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 188 seatsCDU/CSU: 174 seatsSPD: 94 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 87 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD188
  • CDU/CSU174
  • SPD94
  • Grüne87
  • Linke87
  • AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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