Forsa poll of 21 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 2,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- AfD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU24.0%±0
- SPD14.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Oct 2025.
In this poll Forsa has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 2,505 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Oct 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 14 Oct 2025, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 25.6
- Grüne +0.7average 11.3
- SPD -0.6average 14.6
- AfD +0.5average 25.5
- Linke +0.4average 10.6
- FDP -0.3average 3.3
- BSW +0.2average 3.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- AfD188
- CDU/CSU174
- SPD101
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- AfD + CDU/CSU362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne376 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.